| Financial Indicator | Definition and Explanation |
|---|---|
| DXY index | Measures the value of the US dollar in relation to a range of foreign currencies. Also known as the US Dollar Inxes, it takes the average exchange rate of the USD and six other currencies. |
| Unemployment rate growth | Tracks the change in the unemployment rate. It monitors trends in employment and is calculated as the percentage of the workforce that is unemployed but actively seeking employment. A higher rate means more people are losing jobs, while a lower unemployment rate growth indicates the opposite. |
| Velocity of M2 Money Stock | Measures how quickly money is changing hands in the economy. It is calculated by looking at how many times a year the stock of M2 money is used to buy goods and services. A higher velocity indicates that money is being spent more quickly, which can be a sign of a strong economy. |
| Margin Debt to Cash | Measures how much an investor borrows to invest in the stock market compared to how much cash they have available. A higher ratio indicates that investors are more leveraged, which can increase market risk. |
| Buffet Indicator | Compares the total market capitalization of all publicly traded stocks to the GDP of the US. It determines if the stock market is overvalued or undervalued. A ratio over 100 indicates that the stock market is overvalued, while a low ratio indicates the opposite. |
| VIX Index | Also known as the “fear index”, it measures the implied volatility of the stock market based on the S&P 500 over the next 30 days. A higher VIX indicates that investors expect greater volatility, while a lower VIX indicates the opposite. |
| Shiller P/E Ratio | Measures the current stock price to the average inflation-adjusted earnings of the past 10 years. A high ratio indicates that stocks are overvalued, while a low ratio indicates the opposite. |
| 10Y bond yield growth | Measures the yield on 10-year government bonds. A higher yield indicates investors are demanding a higher return for lending money to the US government, which can be a sign of inflation or increased risk. |
| Debt / GDP ratio | Compares a country’s total debt to its gross domestic product, and is used to assess the sustainability of a country’s fiscal position. A higher ratio indicates that the country has a larger debt burden compared to its economic output. |
| Federal Funds Rate | The interest rate at which banks lend reserve balances to each other overnight. It is set by the Federal Reserve and used to control inflation and stimulate economic growth. |
| Put/Call Ratios | Measures the trading volume of put options (contracts that allow investors to sell an asset at a specific price) compared to call options (contracts that allow investors to buy an asset at a specific price). A higher ratio indicates investors are more bearish, while a lower ratio indicates the opposite. |
| Personal Savings Rate | The percentage of disposable income that households invest after expenses and taxes. A higher rate indicates that households are saving more, which can lead to decreased consumer spending and economic growth. |
| AAII Sentiment | Measures the bullish, bearish, or neutral sentiment of individual investors over the next six months. |
Financial Indicators
| Value | 6M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DXY index | 103.83 | 2.53% | 1.93% |
| Unemployment Rate | 3.90% | 0.00% | 14.71% |
| Velocity of M2 Money Stock | 1.35 | 1.51% | 7.07% |
| Margin Debt to Cash | 246.33% | 18.35% | 24.31% |
| Buffet Indicator | 139.30% | — | 0.00% |
| VIX Index | 13.49 | 28.89% | 20.13% |
| Shiller P/E Ratio | 33.67 | 17.65% | 15.98% |
| Value | 6M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Y bond yield growth | 4.65% | 6.06% | 36.76% |
| Debt / GDP ratio | 121.67% | 1.41% | 2.44% |
| Federal Funds Rate | 5.33 | 0.00% | 10.35% |
| Put/Cal Ratios | 0.65 | 27.78% | 27.78% |
| Personal Savings Rate | 3.60% | 5.26% | 21.74% |
| AAII Sentiment | — | — | — |
Sources
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